Number 9

1952 Replay v Actual

Okay, for the final time in this 5Y project I will take a quick
look at how EI did during the replay compared to how these kids
did during the actual 1952 season. I'll stick to the usual routine
of taking the top ten batters and the top ten pitchers from
Division One, since those guys played more games than their
D2 counterparts.

For batters, we'll look at average, doubles, triples and home runs.
For the pitchers, we'll compare ERA, hits allowed, strikeouts and
walks. Actual stats will be in parenthesis.

BATTERS

S.Musial         .341-47-2-22   (.336-42-6-21)
T.Kluszewski  .340-28-15-17  (.320-24-11-16)
S.Gordon       .339-21-1-22    (.289-22-2-25)
D.DiMaggio    .335-19-1-8     (.294-20-1-6)
F.Fain          .329-48-0-3     (.327-43-3-2)
B.Avila          .324-28-8-7  (.300-26-11-7)
E.Valo          .314-27-3-4     (.281-26-4-5)
J.Robinson    .312-16-1-19     (.308-17-3-19)
M.Mantle      .310-43-6-20    (.311-37-7-23)
M.Minoso      .305-25-4-12    (.281-24-9-13)

Extra base hits came in very close for all ten batters listed.
Musial, Fain, Jackie and the Mick were within .005 of their actual
batting average. Sid Gordon and Dom DiMaggio, teammates on the
Mutuals, hit way over their actual batting average, but were nearly
spot on in their power numbers.

PITCHERS

W.Hacker 1.95-144-55-33  (2.58-144-84-31)
J.Dobson 2.24-169-92-58  (2.51-164-101-60)
B.Pierce 2.27-216-115-69  (2.58-214-144-79)
E.Lopat 2.54-127-46-51    (2.54-127-56-53)
D.Koslo 2.95-154-63-40    (3.20-154-67-47)
B.Lemon 2.97-224-86-78  (2.50-236-131-105)
P.Minner 3.38-183-47-53  (3.73-180-61-54)
J.Hearn 3.50-226-71-84   (3.78-208-89-97)
P.Roe 3.53-174-71-42       (3.11-163-83-39)
C.Simmons 3.57-203-121-72  (2.82-170-141-70)

Before anything else, let me tell you I am astonished and delighted
to see how close Ed Lopat's replay numbers mirror his actuals for that
year. In fact, he nailed his ERA and HA, and came up ten bucks short
on his actual strikeouts and two walks shy of his actual total! Bravo EI!!

That said, we all know how difficult it is to replicate actual ERAs in a
replay, especially in a draft league, so I won't dwell on it and simply
conlcude that while not as close to actual as I'd like, the biggest variant
in the group belongs to Curt Simmons, who got slaughtered in the replay
compared to his actual ERA. I'm happy to see a lot of variants in the 30s,
and hey, a .5 run difference isn't all that bad! Hacker allowed the same
number of hits as he did in real life, and walked two more than he actually
did, but he didn't come close to striking out 84 batters. Dobson turned in
some true to life figures as did Billy Pierce. Lemon pitched 330 innings
in 1952, and no one in 5Y pitches that much. Paul Minner's numbers look good,
though he didn't strike out 61, coming up 14 Ks short. Preacher Roe came
pretty close, and Simmons had a bad year.

Very pleased with Extra Innings! Can't wait to do more replays with it!